Friedrichs, J. (2010, In Press). Global energy crunch: How different parts of the world would react to a peak oil scenario. Energy Policy, http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2010.04.011
At first when I read its title, I thought the author had run a model simulating countries' responses to assumed crude oil depletion. I was wrong.
The article tells stories of three countries that had confronted or have been confronting embargoes or economic sanctions imposed upon them: Japan during the World War II, and modern days' North Korea and Cuba.
The author labels each country's reaction to their predicament as,
- Japan, 1918-1945: predatory militarism
- North Korea, 1990s: totalitarian retrenchment
- Cuba, 1990s: socioeconomic adaptation
In this regard (that I agree with the author), I want to introduce my small paper written a few years ago. (If you are looking for a quality paper, do not click on the link below!!! It was just my homework for a class.)
Park, H. (2007). Cuba’s Response to Energy Crisis. Working Paper. Retrievable at http://bit.ly/bcRiiS
By the way, I think the following publication is the best review of peak oil so far.
Sorrell, S., Speirs, J., Bentley, R., Brandt, A., & Miller, R. (2009). Global Oil Depletion: An assessment of the evidence for a near-term peak in global oil production. London, UK: UK Energy Research Centre. [Full-text at http://bit.ly/c1q1GJ]
thanks for the paper, i enjoyed it! good thinking
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